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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 05/02 11:36
Traders Turn All Three Livestock Markets Higher
Upon seeing ample trader support, all three of the livestock contracts are
trading higher into Friday's noon hour.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
Traders have again changed their tune toward the livestock contracts as all
three of the markets are trading higher into Friday's noon hour. No more trade
has developed in the fed cash cattle market, but some more clean up trade could
develop still in the South. May corn is down 1 1/2 cents per bushel and May
soybean meal is up $5.00. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 597.01 points
and NASDAQ is up 309.01 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
After seeming like the market may have received all the technical support it
was going to for the week on Friday traders decided to give the cash cattle
market the support it undeniably deserves and to again push the contracts
higher. Currently the spot August contract is trading at yet another new
contract high, which will be something to watch for at today's close. June live
cattle are up $1.95 at $211.57, August live cattle are up $2.27 at $206.92 and
October live cattle are up $2.35 at $204.57. No new cash cattle trade has
developed today and it's likely that aside from a few clean up deals here and
there, that the bulk of this week's trade is done with. So far this week,
Southern live trade has been at $214 to mostly $218, $5 to $6 higher than the
prior week's weighted averages, while Northern dress deals have had a range of
$340 to $352, mostly $350, $8 higher than the previous week's weighted averages.
Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice down $0.23 ($342.94) and select up $1.36
(325.64) with a movement of 61 loads (42.94 loads of choice, 10.77 loads of
select, zero loads of trim and 7.24 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle complex is seeing the same support in which the live
cattle contracts are this morning as most of its contracts are trading above
$3.00 higher into Friday's noon hour. May feeders are up $2.22 at $295.45,
August feeders are up $3.32 at $297.75 and September feeders are up $3.42 at
$296.27. Support has poured into the feeder cattle complex from nearly all
directions -- higher fed cash cattle prices, stronger support in the futures
complex and nearly unfathomable demand in the countryside for feeder cattle.
The only major factor to monitor this afternoon will be whether or not traders
continue to maintain these high price point on the futures complex or not.
LEAN HOGS:
With a little extra help from stronger morning pork cutout values, the lean
hog complex is also trading higher into today's noon hour. June lean hogs are
up $1.32 at $99.50, July lean hogs are up $1.85 at $100.77 and August lean hogs
are up $1.95 at $99.27. The gains are wild this morning in terms of the
individual pork cuts as the butt is up $10.67, and the loin is up $5.34.
The projected lean hog index for 5/1/2025 is up $0.12 at $89.69, and the
actual index for 4/30/2025 is up $0.33 at $89.57. Hog prices are lower on the
Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, down $0.21 with a weighted average price of
$92.23, ranging from $89.00 to $95.00 on 1,388 head and a five-day rolling
average of $92.74. Pork cutouts totaled 260.01 loads with 241.21 loads of pork
cuts and 18.80 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $2.96, $99.42.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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